For a couple of weeks, the state leader had to counsel in the western edge of the sand box in order to give an appropriate reply to Putin’s clever reactions as to the second sanction round.

Apparently, with the beginning of last week, they had enough phoned around, wheeled and dealt = counseled, retrieving some of their spades the bad Russian had buried dastardly deep in the sand. One scoop full of sand after another has been thrown – again with the aid of the western media machinery, forced into line – towards Russia. Among the missiles, there are some chunks of feces the western leaders neatly bake into the heavy wet flying sand.


3-D-glasses on, popcorn and coke are ready, now we just snuggle in the sofa corner, and the curtain opens for the drama that is going to accompany us for the coming months:


the fact that thousands of Russian volunteers are fighting on the separatists’ side has been well known for months. There are plenty of bloggers and independent websites respectively reports in the Russian TV that spread this early in the year. Already.


It’s an absolute cheek that this old chestnut did not boil up before last week, on Wednesday and even more on Thursday to be precise, in addition being used as stupefaction of the people and war-hawking. How stupid do they all really think we are? On an official website, the junta boss Poroshenko complained bitterly on Thursday about those thousands of volunteers fighting against Ukraine. The very same day, thereupon the American news agency Thomson Reuters (a Rothschild company) broadcast and processed this generally known fact as fresh news saying that "Russia started the invasion of Ukraine". Subsequently, the European stock markets began nose diving again.


Later the day, Thomson Reuters withdrew the word "invasion". It was but a mistranslation... Thereat, the European stock markets recuperated from the first shock. On Friday, David Cameron, prime minister of the United Kingdom by trade, and by accident married into the Rothschild family, came round the corner with the plan to levy a 10000 men NATO army for East Europe. It’s planned for 2016, hmm, not any earlier in deed??


Since Friday, all of a sudden western sanctions are under debate again. "Evidence and hints are solidifying that Russia is standing in the Ukraine already". All at once, Angela Merkel orders a new sanction round during the EU summit. Yesterday, NATO secretary general Rasmussen told us that Ukraine’s NATO admittance was determined as early as in 2008. Yikes, I didn’t know at all.


Likewise yesterday, the Lithuanian President Grybauskaite demanded a tougher pace versus Russia because "Russia is virtually in war against Europe already". Yikes, I hadn’t even known the aunty. We seem to have identified another female war-hawker however…


I’m going to tell you now in what all these purposes will result, so to speak the West’s true intention. NATO troops to Ukraine is what the plan reads! Namely as quickly and as many as possible, a cushion against Putin’s imperialism, bristling with arms. I think the western leaders intend to avoid the cardinal error that was committed then, in 1939, with Hitler! In those days, the West was too hesitant to balk by force of arms Hitler’s expansion urge towards Czechia and Slovakia. In accordance with the motto "Nip it in the bud", the West doesn’t want to commit the same mistake again!


And I tell you something, to wit that the stationing respectively the planned stationing of NATO troops in the Ukraine will finally be the trigger why Russia will invade Eastern Ukraine.


As soon as Putin is convinced that NATO troops are engaged in the Ukraine, the true and real invasion will kick off. 100 NATO cusses in Ukraine are no problem yet. Nor are a couple of tanks and jets. As soon as Putin notices and thinks that it’s becoming too much and when he feels more and more stalemated he will strike however, overtaking Eastern Ukraine and unifying that territory with Crimea. New-Russia!


From his standpoint, it’s absolutely impossible that NATO troops are stationed in Ukraine. Bang, out and over. As it was with Kennedy and USA in the Cuba crisis. This is how I see the next act of the drama, and I don’t have any doubt, not the slightest, that the West and the East, thus NATO and Russia will be confronted with each other in the middle of the Ukraine, soon.


My crisis thermometer is and remains being palladium. I observe, analyze and trade it daily. With help of the swings and reactions shown by this metal to all the geopolitical problems of this world, on the one hand I try to classify all the contradictory messages for me personally, to divine global-political developments in advance and, of course, to feather my own nest.


It is under Russian supply control since Russia is the main producer. The Western countries can be glad to get still some part of it. In a foreseeable future, palladium - directed by Russia – will mainly be given into the eastern economic sphere. The West will have to pay high prices to assure itself of it.

 

And the reaction of palladium, especially as far as the most recent developments of this weeks are concerned, confirm unequivocally that the western countries will have to pay lunatic prices the coming years to assure the supply of this metal. By the August close, the metal signals that the party for palladium really gets going now. Out of the new powerful August buy signal, I read that Putin will sanction it… as a counter-reaction to some such western threatening gesture:

 

 

On Friday 08/22/2014, the metal closed with 887.60$ pretty exactly at its ultimate and strong monthly 886$ horizontal resistance. As well last Monday (close 889.75$) and last Tuesday (close 888.70$) it did not break the 886$ first square line resistance upwards. It kept lurking.


On Wednesday, "rumors" started that 3000-4000 Russian soldiers/soldier tourists are supporting the separatists. With Wednesday and the close at the absolute day high (893.90$) the breakout above the strong 886$ resistance started. On Thursday, the mentioned "Reuters invasion news" arose. The Thursday close was at 898.40$. This signified the highest daily close since the beginning of 2001. And bang – with Friday –, the month close the metal at first broke the round 900$, closing above as well.


==> A powerful, greatly powerful buy signal was what the market participants generated now, due to the Russia invasion. Unless the market were clearly running scared of war, the buy signal would not have been generated. Thus the market activated now the first double arc as the next important uptarget. Next target is thereby the 1077$ mark, notified here and here already. The 1077$ is only an interim stage, however. Main targets for this uptrend are either the 1500$ or even the 1700$. Please, read up here, as well. Maybe, I mean palladium is likely to swing now into the panic mode with this fresh GUNNER24 Buy Signal.


In the monthly palladium chart above, I illustrated the performance of palladium in the uptrend over the last years. Once there are up moves that proceed very stably and persistently under relatively well-ordered conditions- the green marker. And then, there are those panic buy attacks. They are always brutal showing exorbitant monthly gains. They last 2-3 months, sometimes up to 7 months.


With the final monthly August close above the first square line resistance, the uptrend may/should tighten again because, whenever an important monthly resistance is taken, technically a new up-energy thrust evolves.


If Russia sanctions palladium within the next weeks, you may forget the 1077$. In that case, the metal will temporarily quote more expensive than gold in 2014 yet.

 

A more profound back-test into the 880$-875$ region that is always possible will have to be deployed for a long-entry in September. Next important resistance is now the 922$ magnet = weekly resistance. If this one is overcome on daily closing base, the round 950$ is likely to be reached fast. 950$ are to be expected as early as in September.

 


 

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Be prepared!

 

Eduard Altmann